Reflections on the Gaza narrative

One of the most informative podcasts I’ve heard about the Hamas attack on Israel was a first hand account, by a retired soldier, who helped mount a successful defence of his kibbutz on October 7th. In graphic detail he described how shock turned to horror as he realised that, faced with attackers who were well-armed and determined, he and his fellow residents would have to fight for their lives. Under intense machine gun and rocket fire, he mustered the kibbutz adult residents, most of whom were army reservists, and they took up defensive positions and began firing back. It was fortunate, he said, that the attackers cut off their power supply early on in the onslaught. The armoured main gates of the kibbutz had been closed for the night and could not easily be opened without electricity. With controlled but deep emotion he described how the residents fought for their lives. Many were killed and wounded but they inflicted heavy losses on their attackers. He personally spoke of killing at least three. He’d called for help as soon as he realised what was happening. It was over two hours before any reinforcements arrived and even then it was armed police and not the IDF. The police engaged the attachers and, with more casualties on both sides, eventually drove them off. He was angry that the fight was so long and cost so many lives. Israel is a small country. He was less than 100km from Tel Aviv and much closer to many military bases. Why had support not come sooner? Surely there was a rapid response force that was on 24 hour alert. If there was then it didn’t respond. He was speaking only a day or two after the attack. I couldn’t but be impressed by his courage and his precise recall of events but I was also struck by his intense anger and his determination to find out why his kibbutz had been left to fend for themselves for so long. 

I don’t  know if he ever found out. I do know that his was the only first hand account I heard from a defender of an attacked kibbutz. It is true that many were overrun and their inhabitants, men, women and children, killed, wounded or taken hostage. Most men and many women in Israel are reservists. They have military training and some guns and ammunition. There must have been many courageous men and women who fought back for as long as they could. However, the Israeli foreign ministry reported that 1200 had been “murdered in cold blood” when, in fact, at least 350 were members of the security forces. We don’t know how many of them died in battle. We don’t hear about them. Instead we are repeatedly told about the most atrocious and barbaric incidents during the attacks. These need to highlighted for the flagrant human rights violations that they were but those who died fighting, protecting their homes and their loved ones, should not be forgotten.

Has anyone else noticed that not a single Palestinian, in Gaza or the West Bank, has been ‘murdered’, ‘slaughtered’ or ‘massacred’? In writing the opening paragraphs above, I had to struggle to avoid using any of these words such is the influence of the dominant narrative we westerners have lived with for over 5 months now. What should we say about a Palestinian farmer in the West Bank, Bilal Saleh, who was shot in the chest by a settler on 28 October last, while he was picking olives with his family? Was he ‘murdered’ or ‘slaughtered’? And when we eventually get video clips of entire Palestinian families being blown to pieces by artillery shells will we say they were ‘massacred’ or ‘slaughtered’? If not will it be because their attackers committed the atrocities from a distance or will we seek to minimise responsibility by blaming ‘faulty intelligence’ or the possible presence somewhere nearby of a suspected Hamas fighter?

Successful control of ‘the narrative’ must be subtle but pervasive to maximise its impact. Take the issue of casualty numbers in Gaza. In earlier conflicts these were reported as coming from ‘The Palestinian Health Authority’ and, after Hamas took full control of Gaza, from ‘Gaza Health Authority’. The figures were considered reliable by the UN and other agencies and were reported to be relied upon by the IDF also. Shortly after 7 October the media began referring to the ‘Hamas-run Health Authority’, insinuating that the numbers might be manipulated. No evidence was ever produced to support such a conclusion – indeed the casualty figures at this stage are most likely an underestimate – but the constant repetition of ‘Hamas-run’ has been seized upon by the wilfully gullible  – including President Biden – to minimise the numbers being killed in Gaza. 

Gaza is not a ‘strip’ or an ‘enclave’ it is, in effect, a large open air prison. No one can enter or exit from Gaza without direct or indirect Israeli permission. So when Irish citizens of Palestinian origin were struggling to get out of Gaza after 7 October, the Irish media reported that people were ‘not permitted to leave the Hamas-controlled enclave’. Any reasonable and ignorant person would interpret this as meaning ‘Hamas won’t let our Irish citizens leave Gaza’ whereas the fact was that it was Israel, or Egypt acting at its behest, that controlled the border. Sometimes this became clear later on in the news reports, for example with a reference to Irish diplomatic efforts to enlist Israeli support, but it would be a careful reader who discerned that Gaza’s borders were in fact ‘Israeli controlled’ and not ‘Hamas controlled’. 

Judging only from appearances, I believe the Israeli government agencies have succeeded in establishing their selective narrative as the dominant one in almost all western media. There are many other examples. We are told that nearly 20% of buildings in Gaza have been destroyed ‘in the war’. Now it’s questionable that what is going on in Gaza is a ‘war’ in any conventional sense. It is more like a very heavy-handed counter-insurgency where the insurrectionists are hard to tell from the (male) civilian population and only a minority of them are armed and fighting. But even if we term it a ‘war’ surely we should say that the 20% of buildings have been destroyed by Israel? Is there evidence that any significant amount of the destruction of people, infrastructure or houses has been carried out by Hamas? If not then why not say ‘destroyed by the IDF’? 

Consider the ‘normal’ way Hamas or Hezbollah are termed in our media.  The ‘Iran-backed militia’ or even ‘the Iran proxy force’ precede their names every time. No doubt Shia Iran provides military and other aid to both the Shia Hezbollah and the Sunni Hamas but it is minuscule in comparison to that provided by the US to Isreal.  How many times have you heard a reporter say or write ‘The US-backed IDF today attacked…’ or ‘The US-equipped IDF have destroyed ..’? Reportage from non-western sources may give this emphasis but the western world behaves as if Israel were an independent actor, beholden to no one. We see this at present with the repeated statements by US (and other western) leaders that they are making every effort to stop the killing of too many innocent civilians. (They never say what number is ok  i.e. not too many). Prior to the Oslo accords it was widely reported that the US threatened to hold up military aid to Israel if it didn’t accede to some Palestinian demands – notably the commitment to an ‘eventual’ state of their own. In the current attack on the corralled people of Gaza the US promised, instead, to increase their supply of weapons and money even as they claim to be urging ‘restraint’. Only now, with over 33,000 Palestinians killed, most of them women and children, has the US begun to suggest that military support for Israel might, just might, be imperilled if their assault continues.

On 23rd October, just two weeks after the Hamas attack, the IDF released a video which it said ‘proved’ that Hamas had a command and control centre under the El Shifa hospital. The video showed a complex of rooms and tunnels stretching down three or more floors underground. This ‘proof’ was widely reported and, as far as I can find, not questioned.  When the IDF eventually attacked and occupied the hospital there was no confirmation of their claim. Instead there were videos of a few tunnels, a small quantity of arms and a single, clearly unused room. A few media outlets – CNN, Rolling Stone – later revisited the IDF claims and concluded they were not believable. This conclusion was not reported by others and the false IDF claim was generally left unchallenged and uncorrected.

Most recently a senior UK intelligence figure has said that approximately 60% of the Hamas fighters are orphans. If we reflect on the fact that something like 75% of the Palestinians killed in Gaza are women and children we can conclude that there will be many more orphans to swell the ranks of the next wave of attackers whether they be called Hamas or not. We might reflect too on the relentless killing of civilians who are caged by their attachers so that they cannot escape. What impact is that having on the young people of many Arab or Moslem states? Western governments have decried ‘radicalisation’ and even set up ‘de-radicalisation’ programmes. How many millions of young people in the Arab or Moslem world are being radicalised right now by the Israeli actions and what will our governments say when the inevitable backlash leads to more attacks on our countries? 

Supposing Russia cordoned off a strip of Ukraine containing, say, a million people, soldiers and civilians, and it then proceeded to bomb the strip relentlessly and with little regard for civilian casualties while preventing any refugees from escaping the barrage, what would be the West’s reaction? If the number of dead exceeded 30,000 would the west still confine itself to hand-wringing and plaintive cries for restraint?  I don’t think so. When we in the complicit West are subject to terror attacks; when countries in the global south accuse us of double standards; when we find more and more countries looking to China for global leadership then we should remember what we didn’t do when the largest refugee compound in the world was being pulverised, by our ‘ally’, using ‘our’ weapons and with our implicit support. 

Letter to the Economist re Alaska & Climate Change

The Economist ‘Checks & Balance’ podcast about US politics is well worth listening to. Literate, witty and well-informed, they sometimes do ‘specials’ on single topics. This letter was in response to one such podcast and addressed to one of the podcast’s regular participants.

To Charlotte Howard    10 Feb 23

Hi

I’m a longtime (since 1979) Economist subscriber and, over the past few years I’ve become a fan of your Checks & Balance podcast. Just as I’ve always taken issue with the paper’s right of centre stance while appreciating and enjoying its writing and reasoning, so I enjoy the podcast while making mental notes – often unfortunately mislaid – of criticism and disagreement. This is one such that survived until after my podcast alleviated travel. 

Your episodes on Alaska were exceptionally good journalism. While you did include the mandatory ‘personal’ trials and tribulations you underplayed them with authentic NYC wit. Your interviewees were well chosen. The Governor’s fatally flawed logic and climate denialism was clearly more than distasteful to you and I’m sorry that, once again, the now customary framework allows for no challenge – even to the most barefaced untruth or misrepresentation. It seems to me that one casualty of US polarisation has been the demise of challenge interviewing. I don’t think it is just age-induced sentimentality that has me recalling interviews in the 60s and 70s, on both sides of the Atlantic, where misrepresentations and evasions were confronted, politely but firmly, with documented facts. I like that the Economistinterviews people with extreme or deluded views but regret that – perhaps as a condition of interviewing in a Twittering world – no challenges are allowed. 

One key point from your Alaska pieces. Towards the end of Part 2, you spoke of the contradiction between preserving the environment of that vast state while continuing or even increasing the production of the fossil fuels that the rest of the USA needs. That’s where i would challenge you. For me there is a world of difference between what a person or a society ‘needs’ and what it ‘wants’. At a personal level I want a new car but, since my current one still runs, I don’t need it. A society may want tax-free booze but it is hard to argue that it needs it. This conflation goes to the heart of the Economist’s – and many economists’- philosophy. If a person has money to pay for something they desire then they need it. This person, unlike someone starving and penniless, has ‘effective demand’ and it is the God-ordained role of the market to fulfil their desire and collect their money. Once we allow some distinction between need and want, life becomes more complicated and more humane. Getting back to your quandary about destroying Alaska (and the world) to feed gas-guzzlers elsewhere in the USA, we have to ask does a person need a 4 litre pickup truck or do they just want it? Do they need to have cheap gas or just want it? Conceding this point means the government must regulate the market in some shape or form – perhaps through differential taxation; provision of selected infrastructure or public persuasion. And I suppose that, in the theology of the Economist, that conclusion is heretical. As I know you are concerned and knowledgeable about both energy markets and the coming climate collapse, might you consider some radical amendments your paper’s fundamental beliefs? 

Keep up the excellent work. — 

Joe Revington – an incomparable wit

Joe Revington – an incomparable wit. 

Joe at College Races ?1969

I met Joe Revington when I first went to TCD in the autumn of 1967 and knew him as a character about college for the subsequent 4 years. There are two incidents that I especially recall and that illustrate his perspicacity and his wit. 

In the autumn of 1968 Joe insisted on introducing me to the latest arrival from Kerry. “This is Dick Spring, he will play rugby for Ireland and will be TD for North Kerry” he pronounced as the tall, blushing figure said nothing and studied his shoes. Joe underestimated Dick of course. As a Minister and as Tánaiste, Dick spring was an outstanding politician and proved to be the proverbial ‘safe pair of hands’.

In March of 1970 the College Historical Society – known generally as the ‘Hist’ – celebrated its 200th anniversary, marking its position as the oldest student debating society in the world. The night of Wednesday 4th saw a debate on the proposition “That the only liberty is a liberty connected with order” with a remarkable set of speakers – Andreu Papandreau, Eugene McCarthy, Conor Cruise O’Brien, Michael Foot and Tom O’Higgins, substituting for the listed James Dillon. It was O’Higgins that bore the brunt of Joe Revington’s front row heckling. His ponderous delivery allowed Joe to interject at will. “I think” intoned O’Higgins and Joe shot out “that’s very questionable”. “History tells us” – and then “very little” and so on. O’Higgins lost his patience at last and rounded on Joe. “This gentleman on my left” he began but before he could continue Joe pronounced “We’re all on your left Tom”. The hall erupted, O’Higgins turned puce-faced and I was left awestruck at the speed and wit of the incomparable Joe Revington.  

I’ve met him rarely in the intervening 50 years but am saddened at the loss of such a kind, astute and witty man and can only offer condolences to his wife and family.

Letter to a Bitcoin enthusiast

Dear John (not your real name)
It seems that your fascination with Bitcoin has not, as I’d hoped, faded in the three years since we discussed it in person. At that time, if I’m remembering properly, you were keen to have me invest in this cyber-currency so that I would benefit from the next big push when Bitcoin’s value was ‘certain’ to double or better in the next year or so. Around then it was worth about US$5k and has since gone as low as $3k and, as it is now over $30k. So if I’d taken your advice and put some of my retirement funds into Bitcoin then, I could have multiplied my money if I sold them now. It looks like I missed out on a good tip :-). Truth to tell, I am considering gambling some money on Bitcoin but that is what it will be, gambling. Bitcoin, like any speculative asset, may well make some people rich. Versus other non-cash assets, including gold, it has advantages and disadvantages. It will not be a currency in any meaningful sense and it will never ‘replace central banks’, ‘undermine the nation state’ or fulfil any other of the grandiose claims of its boosters.

Raoul Pal and ‘The Bitcoin life raft’.
But first let me comment on the YouTube video ‘The Bitcoin life raft’ which you pointed me to. It was a recent (Oct 2020?) pitch – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qL2LfVRl3J0 – by Raoul Pal, an early Bitcoin enthusiast. I watched it carefully from beginning to end. Much was fairly basic monetary economics – ok in content but no sign of the ‘renowned economist’ he was touted to be. [A search showed that he’s published nothing of note in economics]. There were strong assertions about the nefarious plans of governments to tax or even ‘debase’ your wealth – not surprising from a tax exile living in the Cayman Islands – and incongruous appeals to ‘freedom’ (from regulation) and democracy – as Central Banks ‘aren’t elected’. All of this is standard libertarian ideology – see below – but my major observation was that the exceedingly rich Mr. Pal did not even mention humanity’s two most pressing problems – Covid-19 and climate change. Instead he identified our major problem as safeguarding our wealth – however we got it. It wouldn’t have suited his narrative to explain how a world without nation states or central banks or state-backed currencies would deal with either of these issues. Instead we can observe that the states which managed the pandemic best were those with strong social solidarity, national healthcare systems and a willingness to borrow massively to alleviate its impact. The climate catastrophe – which may well submerge the Caymans – will only be handled by international collaboration, managed energy markets and major government (i.e. tax funded) interventions. Libertarian ideologues have proved poor leaders in both regards. Don’t expect Mr. Pal to rush to the aid of virus-stricken Africans or flooded Bangladeshis.

Ideology & Economics
None of this should come as as surprise since Bitcoin – as distinct from the blockchain or other distributed ledger technologies (DLTs) – owes its origins to a number of social, political and economic movements. Principle among these is the Austrian school of economics – led by Hayek – which still provides the intellectual foundations for neoliberalism and, like that manifestation, reflects a profound distrust of state intervention in the ‘free market’. There is also the extreme right US libertarian movement which holds all government in contempt – such as following public health guidelines in a pandemic – and adheres to the illusion of complete individualism. As an aside, I was in the cafeteria queue in Princeton University in 1979 and found myself chatting to a Chicago (Friedman) School economist. He explained how Europe, including Ireland, was stifled by government regulation. I asked if he did not at least accept the achievements of the woman in the FDA who prevented thalidomide from coming into the USA . To this he replied ‘people should be allowed take whatever [medicines] they want but they must put up with the consequences”. The siren-call of neoliberalism has, via Reagan and Thatcher, made the world nastier, less resilient and ultimately, I would argue, less economically efficient as well.

Wikipedia gives a well-referenced summary of Bitcoin’s ideology and the criticisms of many (really) renowned mainstream economists.
The Economist [magazine] describes bitcoin as “a techno-anarchist project to create an online version of cash, a way for people to transact without the possibility of interference from malicious governments or banks”.[145] Economist Paul Krugman argues that cryptocurrencies like bitcoin are “something of a cult” based in “paranoid fantasies” of government power.[146]. Alan Greenspan and George Soros both referred to it as a “bubble”.[213][214] and Warren Buffett called bitcoin a “mirage”.[215]. Noted Keynesian economist Paul Krugman has described bitcoin as “a bubble wrapped in techno-mysticism inside a cocoon of libertarian ideology” [all the numbered refs are on Wikipedia]

None of these quotes prove that Bitcoin is a fraud or a Ponzi scheme but they are grounds for being sceptical of it’s ideology and the claims of its promoters.

Finally, it’s worth noting that Ludvig Mises – Hayek’s mentor in the Austrian school – was judged too rigid even by Milton Friedman, who saw a need for flexible exchange rates. Mises was an inspiration for the dystopian, extreme right-wing writings of Ayn Rand. In his magnum opus (Human Action) Mises revels in the glories of Western colonialism which ‘civilised’ so much of the world through its application of the gold standard. Ammous – in the Bitcoin Standard (2018) – asserts that this wonderful world came ‘crashing down’ in 1914 when, with the advent of WW1, countries had to choose between printing money or running out of gold-backed currency. Incidentally, the wonders of the pre-1914 world were lost on the oppressed colonies, the starving Chinese and the black ‘citizens’ of the USA. In 1929 the great depression was made worse by rigid adherence to the gold standard. This led to the birth of Keynesianism as democratic governments took responsibility for ameliorating the worst extremes of free markets by borrowing during depressions to fund public works. The same happened after the 2008 crash. Major central banks printed money to prevent their economies collapsing. Many economists might hold – as I would – that the subsequent bank reforms were inadequate but very few now believe that letting the banking system and the trading economy (not to speak of society) collapse was a better alternative.

Bitcoin isn’t money
The claims for Bitcoin’s current and future impact vary from the reasonable to the fantastical. Taking the most cited first. Money has various roles in the economy: as a store of wealth; a medium of exchange; a good for speculation and as a unit of account. Historically money was anything a group of people accepted as fulfilling these roles. Ammous’ book (supposedly the Bitcoin Bible) makes great play of the impracticality of some past choices – even putting a RAI stone on his book cover – before jumping quickly to the halcyon days of all the functions of money being filled by gold (and some other precious metals). This all started to fall apart – as quoted above – in 1914, but was partly revived by the Bretton Woods agreement for 1944-1971 after which, he asserts it dissolved completely in 1971. Why did these events take place in those years – 1914 and 1971? Because in both cases countries were fighting wars and, in the interests of their survival as a nation, chose to print money to finance them. If the BC hard core had their way, the state wouldn’t be able to do that. Their private wealth would be ‘protected’ while the country where they lived – maybe even the Cayman Islands – collapsed into chaos. Of course the fanatics will expect someone else to pay the taxes that ensure they have security, electricity, food and a law-based stable society.
As a medium of exchange, BC is not a currency. Early fantasies that people would pay for their coffee with BC soon evaporated once the technical problems of processing large numbers of transactions became obvious. [Geek arguments available on request]. Annous, tellingly, deals with this problem by saying that only ‘important’ payments and reconciliations need be done on the blockchain – analogous to not having to insert your PIN for a contactless payment – but remember the financial infrastructure that makes this a relatively low risk facility for bank or customer. Within the eurozone I am able to transfer money at no cost. What legitimate reason would make me use BC instead?
BC is never going to be suited for small payments. The payments company Stripe – worth about $50bn and founded by two young lads from Castletroy – adopted BC in 2014 when it was the coming thing and then dropped it in 2018 due to its impracticality. https://stripe.com/blog/ending-bitcoin-support

Criminals and Bitcoin
Like any innovation, Bitcoin can be used for nefarious purposes. Wikipedia states that “Australian researchers have estimated that 25% of all bitcoin users and 44% of all bitcoin transactions are associated with illegal activity as of April 2017. There were an estimated 24 million bitcoin users primarily using bitcoin for illegal activity. They held $8 billion worth of bitcoin, and made 36 million transactions valued at $72 billion”. If we add the Bitcoin transactions that are purely speculative – with no intention of being used to buy something – we can assume that the majority of transactions are not related to commerce.

One of the selling points for the ideologues is that BitCoin is anonymous and so the ‘bad’ government can’t get at your assets. For true believers any taxation or control on the movement of wealth is ‘immoral’ (Annous) regardless of the needs of society. The anonymity appeals to criminals too. On the other hand, the recent IRS (USA) seizure and subsequent sale of over 4,000 bitcoins is now cited as ‘proof’ that illicit holders of Bitcoin can be traced. Yes they can – but it needs a major agency with almost unlimited resources to do so. In comparison with a Swiss bank account Bitcoin is still very hard to trace.

This leads to one of the major drawbacks of BC as a store of wealth versus, say, gold or Swiss francs. Suppose someone breaks into your house and ’persuades’ you to hand over your unique access code for your BC stash. While you are still being held captive your assailant moves your stash from your to their account. What recourse have you got? None. Contrast that with someone acquiring your Swiss bank account details. A total withdrawal will arouse suspicion immediately. Anything else and you might be able to block it. Efforts to force you to do the transfer will only work if your bank lets you buy Bitcoin without questioning you. Hence the increasing demand by extortionists to be paid in Bitcoin. Other assets – such as art, gold coins or government promissory notes might well be traceable or could show up on the black market for you to recover. Investing in Bitcoin on the other hand is inherently risky and you have little or no comeback if things go wrong. see https://www.moneyadviceservice.org.uk/en/articles/bitcoin-cryptocurrencies#why-do-people-buy-bitcoins-and-cryptocurrencies It’s worth remembering too that holders of large amounts of BC are reported to have their access codes written on paper, then broken into segments so that each segment can be stored in a different physical location. Doesn’t sound so frictionless to me.

Security and Stability
This leads to concerns about the security and stability of the BitCoin ecosystem. There have been numerous major breaches in which thousands of BC have been ‘lost’ or illicitly ‘created’ in single instances.These usually involve dodgy exchanges – currently the place most people go to buy or sell their BC. No one in their right mind would entrust all their worldly goods to BC. Most proponents allow that gold or even some currencies (e.g. S Franc) might be better for some people. So they should. Over the past few years BC has been 7 times more volatile than Gold, 8 times the Standard & Poor 500 and 18 times the US$. No business or private individual is going to use a ‘currency’ that is that volatile. No one knows exactly what % of the total BC is held by its inventor Nakamoto but it is believed to be a significant proportion. Would you invest in a currency where a significant proportion of the total issued was held by a single, anonymous person who has the power to manipulate the value of that currency without being charged with insider trading? More fundamentally, Ammous concedes that if the hashing algorithm at the bottom of BC was cracked – as it might be by the NSA or China or Russia for instance – then the entire BC infrastructure would have to agree a new (higher) level of encryption and implement it quickly since all their assets would be at risk. Who would ensure that everyone played fair in this scenario? An unregulated Bitcoin regime will always mean that the small players are fair game for those with greater power and money. One of our Lero researchers has shown that if – a big if right now – the BC drops to around $3,000 – the incentive for miners drops so far that the necessary checking of the blockchain can fail and that holders of around 25% of the BC total could manipulate the market.

Store of Wealth?
This is the most credible of BC’s claims. The number of BC that can exist is limited ‘forever’ so their value can’t be decreased by issuing more of them. But the same is true of many other human artefacts. There won’t be any more Picassos painted. The number of bottles of 2013 Pomerol will only decrease with the years. A Ming vase, owned by a Cork family, went for over €690k at auction recently having been ‘valued’ at around €80k Now ‘value’ has been a contested term throughout the history of economics. There are two dominant schools of thought – the labour theory of value and the subjective (market) theory of value. Economists long puzzled over the problem that water, which was clearly essential to life, had no ‘value’. (They all lived in damp temperate climates of course!) Neither had air – at least until recently when it became toxic enough for us to appreciate it. Some economists decided that value came from the amount of labour needed to produce the product (Ricardo, Marx etc). At least this explained why water and air were free but took little account of the multiplying effect of technology. The alternative was that the value of something was the amount money you could get for it. However this ‘market theory’ was also beset with problems. Markets weren’t perfect so the ‘value’ in one place or to one person might differ from another – and of course water had no value (the so-called water/diamond paradox). Nevertheless the market value is now the dominant theory. So what determines the value of BC? Not the labour content – even if the myriads of ‘miners’ have put huge human and computing effort into them. Its value is determined by consumer/investor demand. If it is scarce and people want more of it the prince goes up. Everyone who buys at price x is a winner when the price reaches 2x. Those who buy at 2x need to wait a little longer for their bonanza but it will come – as long as the price keeps going up. I was in West Cork for Christmas and was told of two local ‘Bitcom (sic) millionaires’ who were building palatial houses with sea views to die for. Note carefully. They were millionaires because they had bought and sold BC. They were now converting their abstract BC wealth into real, tangible wealth that they could enjoy. If BC were really a fountain of wealth for everyone with no possibility of collapse then every person who held any would want to keep and increase their holding. When and if the price of BC starts to drop there may well be a ‘run’ on it and, with no government to intervene to save it, the value could drop to near zero. To that extent it is a ‘bubble’. All the same, the strong control provided by the blockchain and the checking done by the miners distinguishes it from other bubbles as there may well be a market for it as a hedge against inflation (like gold) for those willing to take high risks for potentially large rewards.

Value and Values
The current series of Reith Lectures on the BBC are being given by Mark Carney – former governor of the Bank of England and the Central Bank of Canada. He has previously had some interesting comments to make on BC – including that it was presenting a challenge to the global payments system ‘by the example it was giving’ . He felt the financial clearing systems and the intermediaries involved were far from efficient and that a future DLT-based system could do the job more efficiently. It would, of course, have to be regulated and monitored since, as he said, acting as a clearing bank is a ‘privilege’ granted by democratic governments. It is not something a group of freelancers can abrogate to themselves.
However his Reith lectures are to answer a different question, namely “how have we gone from a market economy to a market society?” To answer this he traces many developments in politics, philosophy, society but especially economics. I’d highly recommend the lectures to anyone wanting to listen to a serious thinker engaged with major concerns of the modern and future world. He considers who exactly are ‘essential workers’ ? Care assistants or hedge-fund managers? What do we really value – social solidarity or the chance to make a quick buck at the expense of those suffering more than we are? Why do people voluntarily give up resources and freedoms when asked (not forced) to do so by less than infallible governments? And most pressing of all; How can we change our economic and financial systems so that we support the changes in behaviour that are essential if our descendants are to have a sustainable world where they can live in comfort, peace and justice. It is notable that he doesn’t once mention Bitcoin but then the BC enthusiasts don’f pay much attention to climate change or any of these issues.

Bitcoin is a speculative asset that may well appreciate for some years to come. It will be volatile. It does not create value and is not inherently valuable but it is (almost) 100% guaranteed to be secure, limited and reasonably accessible. Like I said, I might well put some money into it but only on the premise, as with all risky investments, that I am ready to lose everything I put in. That would be my advice to you also.

Your friend …

The Paris Architect – A Review

I bought this online as part of my new resolve to read more fiction and chose it because of the outstanding reviews on Amazon and elsewhere. A slightly contrived and unlikely plot, where a semi-collaborating architect forms a relationship of sorts with an officer in the occupying German army, could be overlooked if the characters and story had the depth to draw you in and keep you intrigued. Sadly not. Yes the plot is alluring and the sensitivities of architect and client are explored in their own realms but I gave up reading after less than 100 of the almost 400 pages. Why? Because of the complete absence of sensitivity to language. One reviewer I read complained that the dialogue was flat and uninspiring but that is only part of it. The fundamental problem is that in a scenario of profound contradictions and tensions, where a less than principled architect resents working for his overlords, where each word spoken on either side would be laden with cultural, social and political implications everybody speaks … American! German officers, French professionals, people of all races and ranks all speak a bland, colourless dialect of English. There is no language tension since we are never told who is speaking which language. Without so much as a babel-fish between them there is never (in the first 100 pages) a single instance where someone reflects on which language to speak or struggles to find the correct idiom in that of the other interlocutor. Do they speak German all the time? In that case the architect is always at a disadvantage however good his German but he will have earned kudos with the occupiers, kudos that might well be of value later on. Or do they speak French? Unlikely, at least when more than one German officer is present, but the lead character is clearly a cultured man with a fondness for things French. Does he lapse into French when talking alone to the architect and thereby add to his conflicted loyalties? And what if they speak the languages alternately? Who determines which language is used when?

Monoglot countries have a real problem appreciating the politics and psychology of language. Despite his name Charles Belfoure seems to be a true blue American and not to have lived abroad very much. All of the glowing reviews – when I went back to check them – turned out to be from monoglot countries too. Maybe my Irish heritage makes me over sensitive to the subtle nuances of language. Its use to assert or resist domination. The ways in which people explore or exploit the inevitable limitations of the second-language speaker. The vagaries of translation that cause misreading of intent or even explicit meaning. All of this is absent from the book. Instead, to pick a random incident, we get a group of German soldiers asking our French architect for directions to Notre Dame and saying ‘Pardon monsieur … we’re totally lost’ and he replies ‘Certainly gentlemen …. go down the street … until you hit the Seine..’ Even though we read his thoughts on dealing with ‘soldier tourists’ and even on giving them wrong directions we never find out what language was used.

So I never found out if his plan to hide Jewish people worked; whether the German officer liked his factory when it was built or indeed what happened to them in the end. I felt like a concert musician listening to discordant tones, hoping they would improve and then teach me something, only to find the experience too hard to endure so that I had to disengage in disgust.

Social Media and Political Choices

A friend brought this Sunday Independent article to my attention. It’s by fellow Limerick man Paul Quigley, a software entrepreneur, now resident in New York. It’s interesting but I felt it made the wrong inferences in places so I sent him the reply which is below. [posting the original article here as it’s behind a paywall]

Digital tribes rewiring politics 

Social media algorithms deliver content which keeps you engaged.

Paul Quigley June 21 2020 02:30 AM Sunday Indo Business

How are your anxiety levels about the world? It’s been a heavy few months. And thanks to always-on news coming through our phones it feels as if there’s a new threat, injustice or catastrophe every hour.

If you are reading more news lately, you are not alone. My company, NewsWhip, gathers data on engagement with news on social media, and we can see that from March to April people shared and commented more on news than in any two-month period ever before. This was the height of coronavirus panic but, as the panic subsided in May, our elevated news and social media consumption behaviours remained – people are engaging with content on social media at a far higher rate than 12 months ago.

That means many of us are exposed to hundreds of outraged social posts and worrying news stories each day. This changes our perception of the world and may be contributing to the rewiring of politics and society.

The algorithms on Twitter, Facebook and other platforms are optimised to deliver content which keeps you engaged – scrolling, clicking, reading and sharing. When we swipe into these apps, we enter a tailored vision of reality, personalised to our views and designed to keep us there. We initially calibrate the flow of information ourselves by liking and following personalities and outlets we like or agree with. Next, platforms tend to select posts and content from those sources which we will engage with – which tend to be the most emotional, shareable and urgent stories. Soon we are served a torrent of urgent news, only an absent-minded swipe away.

The digital-social news environment has some unintended side effects. Our media diet can turn into an information ghetto, where we are fed a diet of urgent content and strong opinions on the day’s news. Humans are social, group-oriented creatures and in this environment we start to identify strongly with the political tribe that reflects our worldview. As we consume more and more of our tribe’s opinions and facts, it becomes clear to us our political tribe faces urgent threats, and those who disagree with us must be evil, dumb or misguided. 

Information ghettos may be getting worse thanks to economic forces acting on media outlets. In the US and the UK, polarising events such as Brexit and the Trump presidency mean media outlets that were once centrist have cleanly broken for one “tribe” or another. This drives their subscription revenue, as people get out their credit cards to support the work of journalists that supports their worldview. The New York Times has multiplied the output of its opinion pages, which perform well on social media and help it win subscribers. But winning those subscribers might mean the opinion pages of the US newspaper of record must channel a chorus of similarly-minded opinions.

Digital tribalism, fed by our personalised media streams and partisan news outlets, is driving political change in many of the world’s key democracies. For most adults, news is the primary way we learn about parts of the world we don’t physically visit. It’s our window on the world, providing us with facts and explanations of issues in politics, the economy or public health. 

In the US and the UK, two of our most important economic and cultural partners, the two major political tribes are consuming utterly different stories, narratives and facts. The stories on the home page of Fox are completely different to those on the home page of CNN or the New York Times. Without a shared reality, politics becomes hard and reverts to a tribal war rather than a conversation about agreeing on problems and solutions. 

The problem of separate realities runs deep. At New York University, Jay Van Bavel studies tribalism and how partisanship – supporting one side or another in political matters – impacts how we perceive and interpret the world. The findings show how deep our tribal loyalties go into our cognition.

For example, Van Bavel’s team conducted research on Democrats and Republicans, showing members of each group photos of the crowds at the inauguration of presidents Barack Obama and Donald Trump. Members of each political group were asked an apparently simple question: which crowd is larger? (Spoiler: the photos clearly showed the crowds at Obama’s inauguration were larger.) Democrats and most Republicans correctly noted the crowd at Obama’s inauguration was larger. However, a sizeable minority of Republicans refused to believe their eyes. They said Trump’s crowd was larger. 

This prompts more questions: Did they really believe the smaller crowd was larger? Or did they think it was disloyal to acknowledge the uncomfortable truth? Further research suggests it might be the former – we will truly believe what our loyalty motivates us to believe.

At a neurological level, tribal loyalties can determine which information we allow in, and how we assess it, without us even knowing it. Other research shows we update our beliefs when we receive new information, but the more that new information challenges our political beliefs, the more our brains will unconsciously find reasons to reject it.

This partisanship extends to science. News stories about studies that support urgency around climate change receive far more engagement for left-wing publications; stories suggesting less urgency are amplified by the right. It extends to public health. Trump endorsed the compound hydroxychloroquine as a treatment for coronavirus. Audiences on the right followed suit. Left-wing audiences amplified stories about the risks of hydroxychloroquine as a treatment.

Ireland is an outlier in the age of digital tribalism. Our political groups have clumped around the centre instead of splitting left and right. As we take our seat on the UN Security Council at a time of real friction in many of the world’s leading democracies, we could do with figuring out how to bottle this calm and share it around the table.

Paul Quigley is CEO and co-founder of NewsWhip

Here’s my reply.

Dear Paul,

I’d agree with much of what you say but there are some fundamentals you need to consider – especially if you intend to write further on this topic. 

First – a bit of history.  In 1982 I was teaching TCD undergraduates about ‘Computers in Society’. One topic we dealt with was the potential for people to get ‘personalised newspapers’ (we thought they’d be printed!) which would give the person the news items ‘that were of interest to them’. Soccer supporters wouldn’t be burdened with rugby news; atheists with church times – that sort of thing. I recall us reflecting on how this would result in people never having to hear alternatives or conflicting views – we didn’t consider alternative ‘facts’ in those days – and contrasting that with the vigorous debates we had on RTE political or talk shows where you watched to see how ‘your side’ (say Fine Gael) did in the debate. Next day you’d find yourself in discussion with colleagues trying to support (or disown) the opinions or analysis given by the person you were inclined to favour but equally having to comment – even favourably – on the contribution by other sides. ‘Maybe that Fianna Fail guy had some good ideas’. 

Your first mistake is to suggest that Twitter et al have the ‘unintended side-effect’ of giving people only what they want to hear. It’s not unintended. As you rightly say the objective is to keep you reading – so that they can sell advertising – and it would be bad business to present an eager reader with some challenging information, still less opinion. The resulting paranoia – though I disagree that all tribes feel under threat or view their opponents as ‘evil, dumb or misguided’ – is a natural consequence of constant reinforcement. 

Secondly, it is not the ‘events’ (Trump, Brexit) that are ‘polarising’ – it is the ownership of the media involved. Fox news and other Murdoch-owned vehicles are not just selective in what they broadcast – they are proven to fabricate quite a lot of it. Every Murdoch owned outlet was unquestioningly in support of both Trump and Brexit. Sources such as the NYT or even CNN gave some coverage to the Clinton emails ‘scandal’. Did Fox say anything about Trump’s record – in New Jersey in the 90s – of breaching contracts, swearing falsehoods and negotiating bankruptcy? If you want to set up this false dichotomy of ‘liberal v conservative’ using, say, Fox News and the Guardian you need to have as many instances of invented stories in one as in the other. I’m not saying the Guardian is ‘unbiased’ in the sense that it gives equal coverage to all shades of opinion. What I am saying is that cases where the Guardian told or repeated outright lies are pretty rare. Those on Fox are manifold. This isn’t a partisan point. It is a question about whether objective truth exists. So you can’t just say the NYT has (sadly) expanded its opinion spaces (so has the Irish Times) but you must also show that the NYT’s factual reporting – often involving long and costly investigations – contains false statements or conclusions. 

At this point a word about public service broadcasting which you forgot to mention. Recent polls show that Irish people trust RTE for accurate and truthful news. The same is true of the BBC and – for those of us who listened to it while living in the USA – PBS. This is not a coincidence. The very notion of public service broadcasting is to present all sides of an argument and try to establish some reasonable conclusion through reasoned argument. BBC was accused of anti-Brexit bias because it kept asking questions that Brexiteers didn’t want to answer.

The example you give regarding the perceived numbers at the inaugurations illustrates a point – but not the one you are making. A majority of Republicans are convinced by incontrovertible evidence. A minority are not.  That same – Trumpista – minority don’t believe in climate change; feel white people have been victimised and believe the US has the world’s best everything. This motivation should not be termed ‘loyalty’. It is based on ignorance and prejudice. They will support him even if he ‘shoots someone on 5th avenue’. If you wanted to prove your point you’d have to present an example where unambiguous evidence was presented to Democrats and a significant proportion of them refused to accept it. 

Finally partisanship extends to the use of science – not to science. The urgency to combat climate change is a scientific fact if you wish humanity to survive. Denying this urgency is not science but it may be in support of wealthy interest groups. Trump’s ludicrous utterances on treatments for coronavirus are not based on an interpretation of science – where many nuanced opinions may co-exist – but display a total ignorance of basic science. The dangers of hydoxychloroquine are documented by the Veterans Admin, the FDA and the WHO – none of them left-wing. 

But you have a lot to say that is important. I’d love to hear your views on the inflexible, unfit for purpose US electoral system and how unregulated social media are able to manipulate it. How democratic societies might call a halt to the widespread social experimentation being carried out on our societies without our consent by monopolies who are motivated by profit. And how, on the international stage, we might reconstruct the post-war consensus to promote peace, development and justice. 

What to teach Software Engineering Students?

The International Conference on Software Engineering – ICSE (http://www.icse-conferences.org) is the world software engineering research conference series. It is held every year and I have often attended and helped organise it a couple of times. We hosted it in Limerick in 2000. Last year (2019) it was in Montreal and I attended the Software Engineering Education and Training (SEET) track. I grew tired of hearing speaker after speaker explain exactly what we must teach our students so as to ‘meet the demands of industry’, always taking for granted that this was our primary, indeed sometimes it seemed our only, mission. Finally, I challenged this in a well-attended session and said we should also teach many topics that industry might be indifferent or even hostile to. That provoked a lively debate and I was challenged to ‘write it up for next year’.

The 2020 conference was to be in South Korea in May. I intended to submit a paper but I almost didn’t. They don’t welcome opinion pieces and I had done very little organised research on the topic. I had the brainwave to write a short ‘experience report’ based on my many years of teaching ‘Professional Ethics’ and the like to SE undergraduates. I began each course with a short but revealing quiz exercise and I still had some of the results I’d garnered over the years. I submitted the paper more to satisfy my sense of duty than in any hope of acceptance. However it was accepted with very good reviews and the final version was included in the programme. It was entitled ‘We should teach our Students what Industry doesn’t want’. Here’s the listing: https://2020.icse-conferences.org/track/icse-2020-Software-Engineering-Education-and-Training#program

I had 3 minutes and 30 seconds to ‘present’ my paper on Zoom. There were 1.5 minutes for Q&A. I showed only 6 sparse slides and spoke as quickly as I could without losing a multi-lingual audience. It was a strange experience since, despite the best efforts of the ‘virtualisation’ team a Zoom presentation is but a pale imitation of a physical talk – even one of the same length. I look forward to presenting ‘real’ talks on this and related topics in the future.

If you’re interested the full paper and slides – as well has some examples of the quiz results are available at https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1gxklIq0Y3roje6Q1gHCbwHSZ3eW65y6O?usp=sharing

Irish Times – The Kenny Report

In the early 1970s, when Ireland’s economic growth was taking off and the population, after years of decline, was finally growing again, it became clear that our towns and cities would have to expand. Land speculation became the order of the day and whether by accident or design a few landowners made vast fortunes off the backs of the young couples seeking a first home. The government appointed a retired judge who made the common sense proposal that agricultural land, needed for housing, should be acquired by the state or municipality at agricultural price plus a reasonable premium. The report was ‘accepted in principle’ but never implemented. Following on from Dermot Desmond’s thoughtful proposals to solve the housing crisis, I entered the fray as follows:

Sir, – Congratulations to John Daly (Letters, March 11th) for calling out the craven behaviour of our politicians who continue to facilitate windfall profits from land rezoning by not implementing the Kenny report of 1973.

No government has even been willing to test the constitutionality of doing so, still less put the issue to a referendum.

In Sweden, in the 1980s, an equally simple solution was put in place.

Only land that was owned by the municipality could be rezoned and the land could be acquired at a small premium over agricultural value.

This facilitated good planning so that facilities were always in place before the first residents moved in.

It is not that complicated. – Yours, etc,

KEVIN T RYAN,

Castletroy,

Limerick.

Published at https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/letters/everyone-has-a-right-to-a-home-1.4201409

You can read more about the Kenny Report at https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/a-report-that-has-gathered-dust-for-47-years-may-hold-the-key-to-housing-crisis-1.4160241

A Retirement Village?

The following is a brief narrative of what has happened and is happening in the Castletroy Retirement Village which I moved to a few years ago. The take home message is that Ireland has little legal protection for long-term tenants and none for retirement villages as such.

In 2005 Planning Permission was granted by Limerick County Council to Fordmount Developments to build ’56 bedroom nursing home, 90 assisted living apartments 49 two bed retirement housing units’. This included the express condition (No. 28) that ‘No amalgamation/subdivision or increase in size of the units shall take place without the prior approval of the Planning Authority’. The application had included the paragraph:

‘1.9 SOCIAL EQUITY

1.9.1. Mixed Housing and Social Integration

The proposed development will provide dwellings for elderly and infirm person of various levels of independence and mobility. The provision of 2 bed retirement houses; 1 and 2 bedroom assisted living units and a nursing home will allow people to remain in the same location and in the same community as their needs change over time. The proposed development, close to existing housing, will allow social integration within the community which will be further promoted by the inclusion of facilities which allow future residents and local people to mingle. ‘

The Castletroy Retirement Village was opened in 2008 and was managed by Neville Furlong. Some units were sold to individuals and other investment group(s) – approximately 19 of the 138 – but around 2010 (??)  Fordmount went into receivership and its loans were acquired by NAMA. From then until August 2019 it was operated under the directions of the receiver. No (?) units were sold during this period but all units were eventually let. Prospective tenants were given a brochure listing the many facilities and services. Such was the demand that there was a waiting list of suitable tenants for both the apartments and the bungalows. Most of those moving to the village were retirees and/or elderly and infirm, many of whom sold their family homes to move here and all of whom were assured that, as it was a retirement village, they would have indefinite tenure. As this is unusual in Ireland, I queried this a number of times and was told that I could stay ‘as long as you like provided you pay the rent’.  A number of units were let to the Brothers of Charity to accommodate, with HSE support, clients requiring sheltered housing.

During this period 2009-19 the Village operated as anticipated and the residents have reported that they were secure and happy with their life here. The services and amenities provided that were especially valued included:

  1. The Clubhouse – in Sylan House – which had a full-time co-ordinator who organised social events including exercise sessions, music, arts and craft classes, cookery demonstrations, guest speakers and outings to cinema, restaurants and places of interest. She provided complimentary tea, coffee and scones every weekday morning – a great social meeting point for all. It had a water cooler, art materials, coffee machine and TV & Internet access.
  2. The Recreation Room – in Verdant House – was used for weekly Mass and for some of the activities organised by the co-ordinator. It too had a water cooler, art materials and TV & Internet access.
  3. An on-site caretaker lived in one of the bungalows and was a security presence. After his untimely death Noonan security mounted regular foot patrols in the evenings and at weekends.
  4. The full-time maintenance manager was contactable, by mobile, and could respond immediately to urgent calls.
  5. Rubbish was collected from outside residents’ doors on 3 mornings of the week and conveyed to the large, industrial scale bins near the nursing home.
  6. Reception in House No 31 was clearly signposted. Outside visitors and residents could contact the Manager and, when required, the nurse during office hours. Deliveries could be left there and urgent maintenance issues raised.
  7. There was a post-box for outgoing mail in the lobby of Sylvan and Verdant Houses – saving residents the walk to Castletroy Spar.
  8. There was an annual Christmas Party in the nearby Castletroy Park Hotel.

In 2017 NAMA sold the loan to Cerberus – Promontoria (Gem) – what is commonly referred to as a ‘vulture fund’ – for an unknown amount. In August of 2019 the Village was put up for sale by JLL with an asking price of €11m. This advert – for ‘119 retirement properties’ – stated that:

  1. 119 units were up for sale (tenants unaffected)
  2. Mix of 1 and 2 bed apartments and 20 2-bed houses
  3. Rental income of c€1.2m
  4. Net operating income of c€0.69m

The recorded[1] sale price was €6,852,903, but this can not be confirmed.  If correct however, it indicates that a net return of approx. 10% could be had by continuing to operate the Village as it had been. The Company Records Office states that the new Directors of Castletroy Retirement Village (Operations) are Edel and Seamus Madden.

Almost immediately the new owners – whose names appeared on none of the notices or correspondence – began cutting services, eliminating amenities and raising rents.

From the list above, these changes took place.

  1. The Clubhouse co-ordinator retired and was replaced by a part-time (3 mornings a week) person who had no budget to organise events. The weekly social programme was stopped along with almost all its activities. The water cooler, art materials and coffee machine were successively removed.
  2. The Recreation Room also had its water cooler and art equipment removed and its TV & Internet access cancelled.
  3. The on-site caretaker had sadly died earlier in the year and was not replaced. The dedicated security person was replaced by brief and infrequent mobile visits by a security van.
  4. The full-time maintenance manager was no longer contactable – instead all maintenance requests had to be made by email or phone to the ‘Office’. In the past week he has given in his notice and there is no certainty that he will be replaced.
  5. Rubbish must be taken to the industrial scale bins near the nursing home by individual residents. At least one has been injured in attempting to do so. However the resident was afraid to report the incident, saying ‘I’m afraid I might be next’.
  6. House No 31 ceased to be ‘Reception’ and instead an internal apartment in Verdant house was designated the ‘Office’. Neither visitors nor delivery persons can easily access this location – assuming they can find it.
  7. The post boxes in the lobby of Sylvan and Verdant Houses were removed.
  8. There was no annual Christmas Party in 2019.

All these changes were made without consultation, frequently by unheaded and unsigned notices being delivered to each dwelling. For example, one dated 2 December 2019 and addressed to ‘Tenants’ states, regarding rubbish collection, that ‘the practice of leaving refuse outside doors and in corridors/walkways needs to cease. Going forward residents will bring their refuse to the designated areas provided.’  Most shocking of all, at least two elderly residents were given notice to quit – citing the plan to ‘refurbish’ their bungalows.

In response, the residents held meetings and formed an ad hoc ‘Residents Association’ which publicised their plight locally – in the Limerick Leader[2] – and nationally. Sen Kieran O’Donnell raised the issue in the Senate and the Residents Association met with him and TDs Willie O Dea and Jan O Sullivan. All advised meeting with the new owners. The Residents Association requested a meeting, by letter, on 3 December but got no response. The RA then organised a petition seeking such a meeting and had it signed by 77 residents. It was delivered to the owners before Christmas but again it wasn’t even acknowledged. Instead the cuts in services continued.

In response to demands for increased rent, at least five residents have taken cases to the RTB. Some have been heard but, over 4 weeks later, no adjudications have yet been issued. However, the fundamental concern is that the owners do not intend to operate the set of properties as a Retirement Village but are intent on converting (at least some of) the houses to larger dwellings and then selling or letting these at much higher rents. They appear to have discarded any waiting list of retirees and, instead, have let a number of properties to young professionals.  House No 31 has been converted and let as short-term housing for young professionals. Because of political support, Limerick Council issued a warning letter to the owners citing the nature of the development and warning against any re-purposing. But many residents now live in fear and worry. Their distress is palpable and some report that the stress of uncertainty is causing them health problems. Some have already left. Of particular concern are the approx. 12 clients of the Brothers of Charity who have been housed here for almost 10 years. Finding purpose-built, secure and affordable homes for such vulnerable people is never easy and they have been exceptionally content living here. However, now that the initial leases are nearing completion the new owners have refused to renew them.

Some residents, including myself, are seeking legal remedies but, given Ireland’s underdeveloped legislation in this area, are not hopeful that a legal remedy will protect our homes or restore the retirement village to its former happy state. The most promising avenue may be to expose what is happening to public eyes so that prospective tenants, public representatives and the public at large express their displeasure at what is being done and pressure the owners into changing their ways or off-loading the entire property.

Dr. Kevin T Ryan       2 March2020  V4 – 086 2425305 ; kevin.ryan@ul.ie

[1] https://www.propertypriceregister.ie/website/npsra/PPR/npsra-ppr.nsf/eStampUNID/UNID-040C3A09F06D079B8025846900527076?OpenDocument

[2] https://www.limerickleader.ie/news/home/495689/elderly-residents-facing-threat-of-eviction-from-limerick-retirement-village.html

A recent piece in the Irish Times might be of interest https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/residents-of-limerick-retirement-village-face-rent-increases-1.4189619?fbclid=IwAR0xV56jhGHZGrgLTfdYRP44FNnlMGB_RIkJtSLOetagwPmKdM8s7WRlYjs

The Green Book – Review

I came to this with mixed anticipation as my US friend had alerted me to it, shortly after its release there, and proposed it as one of her two candidates, along with Roma, for the Best Picture Oscar. Once it appeared in Ireland the reviews diminished my expectations. Many suggested it took an old-fashioned and undemanding view of residual racism in 1960s southern USA making it a slightly updated ‘Driving Miss Daisy’ albeit with role and gender reversal. It was criticised by some for its narrow, intensely personal commentary on what was still an institutionalised racism – epitomised by the eponymous Green Book – and by others for its inverted stereotyping with a rough, ignorant and uncouth white man as the driver and a multi-lingual, highly sophisticated, black concert pianist as his passenger. Having seen it, I find most of these criticisms unjustified.

For a start the movie is based on a true story. Just how closely based is unclear but the mere existence of such a story and of at least some of the incidents recounted seems sufficient justification for putting it on popular record. After all if it had all been invented the story would have been deemed incredible and the director accused of straining for effect. Secondly, the movie has so many sharp edges, scenes of tension and occasionally violence, moments of intense emotion and a subtle development of character in the two protagonists as to discount any comparison with Driving Miss Daisy. Perhaps some were expecting a Rodney King documentary; a story of ordinary poor blacks suffering under institutional neglect and racism and resented getting instead a story of poor urban Italians who had none of the wealth or opportunity of the gifted black musician. Taking the movie on its own terms – which seems only right rather than burdening it with our own expectations – we get a subtle development of an unlikely and, in reality, a lifelong cross-racial, cross-class friendship. Besides there is much more to like in the film. An evocative sound track of music of many genres; exhilarating piano performances ; atmospheric night scenes and a few moments of side-splitting humour all encased in a conventional linear narrative. Both Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali give Oscar-worthy performances as, without being didactic, we are shown the depth and complexity of their own histories and the developing relationship between them. Perhaps we are overburdening movies that treat of socio-political settings by expecting them not only to entertain, inform and educate but also to give comprehensive analysis that reflects our current overly conventional wisdom. The Green Book is a beautifully told story of depth and impact and stands tall on that alone.